Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.034021 0.039682 0.045915 0.053277 0.061723 0.071098 0.082283
2025-08-10 0.024409 0.031473 0.039982 0.050944 0.064647 0.081160 0.102515
2025-08-17 0.018411 0.025939 0.035750 0.049377 0.067706 0.091383 0.124140
2025-08-24 0.014728 0.022452 0.033242 0.049249 0.072189 0.103636 0.149705
2025-08-31 0.011712 0.019197 0.030338 0.047883 0.074500 0.112966 0.172236
2025-09-07 0.010251 0.017912 0.029970 0.049969 0.081835 0.130016 0.207512
2025-09-14 0.008679 0.016120 0.028467 0.049969 0.085838 0.142396 0.237035
2025-09-21 0.007200 0.014182 0.026370 0.048606 0.087343 0.150875 0.261186
2025-09-28 0.006140 0.012780 0.024930 0.048073 0.090029 0.161363 0.289454
2025-10-05 0.005705 0.012464 0.025356 0.050849 0.098686 0.182577 0.337615
2025-10-12 0.005212 0.011938 0.025293 0.052676 0.105790 0.201735 0.383978
2025-10-19 0.004447 0.010707 0.023667 0.051262 0.106655 0.209816 0.411350
2025-10-26 0.003862 0.009770 0.022522 0.050698 0.109191 0.221410 0.446706
2025-11-02 0.003273 0.008708 0.020947 0.049025 0.109317 0.228480 0.474315
2025-11-09 0.002807 0.007846 0.019667 0.047784 0.110144 0.236939 0.505363
2025-11-16 0.002494 0.007297 0.019004 0.047796 0.113584 0.250870 0.548438
2025-11-23 0.002148 0.006593 0.017860 0.046534 0.114076 0.258793 0.580045
2025-11-30 0.002026 0.006470 0.018112 0.048601 0.122246 0.283515 0.648612
2025-12-07 0.001815 0.006054 0.017557 0.048618 0.125694 0.298436 0.697746
2025-12-14 0.001573 0.005492 0.016529 0.047298 0.125813 0.306056 0.731760
2025-12-21 0.001395 0.005086 0.015852 0.046783 0.127804 0.318013 0.776339
2025-12-28 0.001352 0.005104 0.016361 0.049491 0.138106 0.349879 0.868329
2026-01-04 0.001279 0.005006 0.016523 0.051274 0.146249 0.377420 0.952655